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National Bank Financial analyst Krishen Rangasamy argues the causality between a strong US dollar and slowing global growth is unclear. He notes a strong dollar can curb trade volumes because most bank trade finance is dollar-denominated.
A stronger dollar raises the cost of dollar-denominated trade finance, which can reduce import demand for feed grains and oilseeds in emerging markets. This is a bearish factor for commodity demand.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。