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Purdue's Center for Commercial Agriculture analysis explains that African swine fever is cutting pork supply in China, raising demand for U.S. pork exports and lifting hog prices and producer margins since April. It notes that a U.S. outbreak could hit consumer demand and production differently.
Reduced Chinese supply lifts export demand for U.S. pork, supporting hog prices, but a U.S. outbreak would be a major risk to that support.
ag.purdue.eduSarah E Zahn2019年5月12日在过去 177 次看涨的疫病事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +2.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Analysis dated May 12 links ASF-driven Chinese pork supply losses to higher US pork export demand and hog prices, supporting a bullish sentiment rebound, though it is commentary rather than new information.
