Analysts described the May WASDE as bearish across the board, with corn the most bearish. The report used a trend-line corn yield that puts 2019-20 corn ending stocks near 2.5 billion bushels, and old-crop corn stocks rose 65 million bushels to 2.1 billion.
Soybean exports were trimmed by 100 million bushels, which added to ending stocks, while the 970 million bushel 2019-20 soybean ending stocks figure was viewed as optimistic.
Trend-line yields that look too high raise the risk of a later downward yield revision, but for now the larger stocks outlook pressures corn and soybean prices, and a China trade deal could change export flows.
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。