
Brazil's central bank cut its 2019 GDP growth forecast in its Quarterly Inflation report and projected benign inflation. It blamed spillover from the first-quarter economic contraction, persistently weak data, and expected investment hits from falling business and consumer confidence.
A weaker Brazilian growth outlook reduces domestic demand for feed-intensive meat and points to a softer real, which can make Brazilian soybean and corn exports cheaper in dollar terms. Benign inflation leaves room for future rate cuts that could weigh on the currency further.
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 73 次中性的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。