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Citigroup says Russian gas shipments to Europe have pushed European storage near full and added to oversupply. The bank suggests Moscow may be testing US LNG export resilience, and it estimates that restricting US LNG for two months could remove about 400 bcf of supply.
Otherwise, Russian pipeline flows may need to fall about 15% year on year.
A possible LNG restriction or Russian supply cut could tighten gas balances and lift prices. The link to feed commodities is indirect.
在过去 136 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.7%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +8.8%),20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。