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Farm Progress policy analysis by Brad Lubben examines how the ARC and PLC safety net choices have become more complex given 2019 weather and market challenges. It describes the new farm bill's changes to yield data and reference prices and expected ad hoc federal assistance.
Expanded safety-net and ad hoc aid can encourage farmers to keep storing grain or planting through low prices, which tends to keep crop supplies ample and prices subdued.
在过去 310 次看跌的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。