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ABARES' June quarter Agricultural Commodities Report forecasts the value of Australian crop production to hold at $30 billion in 2019-20, weighed down by lower world prices for wheat and barley. Better rainfall in south-eastern Australia and central Queensland has produced a stronger winter crop start than last year, with grain production forecast up 20% to 36.4 Mt.
The China–US trade dispute is flagged as a key downside risk to export forecasts.
A recovery in Australian output after drought adds supply to export markets while lower world wheat and barley prices reduce feed grain values. The trade dispute could weaken Chinese import demand for agricultural goods.
graincentral.com2019年6月17日在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
