
Wheat futures fell sharply in the week to 15 July on rain forecasts for Russia and Ukraine and a rise in US spring wheat ratings. France cut its wheat estimate to 36.1 million tonnes, SovEcon lowered Russia's crop to 69.6 million tonnes, and Strategie Grains cut EU soft wheat to 132.4 million tonnes.
Lower Russian and EU crop estimates are supportive, but Black Sea rains and a large managed-money short in Minneapolis wheat outweigh them, pushing prices to contract lows.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Weekly report to 15 July says wheat futures fell sharply on Russia/Ukraine rain forecasts, better US spring wheat ratings and EU/Russia crop estimate changes, which sets the backdrop for the 1-day move ending 16 July.