AccuWeather's new analysis projects a 2019 U.S. corn crop of 13.26 billion bushels, 11.3% below the April USDA estimate, and a soybean crop of 3.952 billion bushels, 4.7% below April. The forecast cites flooding and wet conditions across the Corn Belt, with corn and soybean planting well behind the 2014-18 average.
The USDA's June 11 report lowered its corn projection to 13.68 billion bushels but left soybeans unchanged.
A larger projected shortfall than USDA's own numbers tightens expected corn and soybean supplies, supporting feed grain and soymeal prices. Continued planting delays keep upside risk in the market.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。