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Rabobank reaffirmed its end-2019 forecast of USD/BRL at 3.70. It attributes most of the real's weakness over the past year to a stronger global dollar driven by US tariffs, with local reform optimism partly offsetting.
The bank expects a limited real rally this year given mixed global conditions.
A weaker real than some expect keeps Brazilian soybean, meal and corn offers competitive on world markets, which can cap upside in dollar-denominated feed prices.
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。