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US pork prices have risen as a hot summer has reduced hog weights and output. Hog prices had been expected to depend on the US-China trade war and African swine fever, which has spread across Asia and Eastern Europe and cut production by about 30%.
Expected Chinese demand has failed to materialize, leaving a large US herd.
Heat-related losses in weights and output tighten US pork supply, supporting prices, though the direction of future moves depends on trade developments.
在过去 12 次看涨的天气事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.5%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +7.1%),20 个交易日内为 -3.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。