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An MU Extension analysis of corn prices says planting delays could reduce US corn area and yields. A scenario of 85 million planted acres with 170 bu/ac yields implies a crop about 1.7 billion bushels below USDA's May forecast.
The analysis projects farm prices near $4.15/bu and Chicago corn near $4.50/bu, and March 2020 futures already traded above $4.50.
A supply shock of this size would tighten the feed grain balance and raise feed costs for livestock buyers. The price implication is bullish corn, although the outcome depends on final planting and yields.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。