
USDA's July WASDE raised its 2019 U.S. corn production estimate to 13.875 billion bushels, above the June figure and trade expectations, and left yield at 166 bushels per acre. Old- and new-crop corn ending stocks came in bearish, while soybean ending stocks were viewed as supportive.
USDA also flagged an updated ENSO forecast showing El Nino ending.
A larger corn crop and bigger carryout pressure corn prices, while the smaller soybean outlook and weather risk from the end of El Nino support soybean and feed prices.
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 414 次看涨的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。