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A Reuters poll of 19 analysts, officials and traders forecasts Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan wheat exports rising 4% to 63.2 million tonnes in 2019/20, with the three-country crop up 8.5% to 120.4 million tonnes. A June heatwave led to Russian crop downgrades, and SovEcon and IKAR cut their forecasts.
A larger Black Sea export supply and improved Russian competitiveness, especially against a challenged US crop and possible EU downgrades, add pressure on world wheat export prices.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 138 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。