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Rabobank expects Brazil's 2019 GDP growth at 0.5-0.6%, a third year of growth at or below 1%. It sees better investment-led growth in 2020 supported by lower rates and reform-driven confidence.
The bank says external trade-war and global slowdown risks have weighed on Brazilian assets, including the real.
Weak Brazilian growth and a sliding real can keep Brazilian export offers competitive, adding pressure to soybean and meal prices. The outlook is a macro backdrop rather than a direct supply shock.
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。