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USDA ERS expects cow slaughter above 2018 levels, especially dairy cows, and lowered its 2019 live cutter cow price forecast to $52 to $54 per cwt. Steer and heifer carcass weights are down 7 and 8 pounds year over year, and average carcass weights are down 12 pounds.
Heavier cull cow supplies keep cutter cow prices under pressure, and lighter carcass weights reduce beef tonnage, so the net effect on fed cattle prices is limited.
在过去 144 次看跌的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。