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An editorial argues that OPEC supply management, in place since January 2017, is growing harder to sustain as non-OPEC supply outpaces demand. The IEA estimated a global surplus of 900,000 b/d in the first half of 2019.
Producers limiting output are losing market share.
Rising non-OPEC supply and a surplus weigh on crude prices over time, which affects diesel costs and biofuel margins. The editorial suggests cuts may weaken, a bearish risk for energy-linked feed input costs.
在过去 215 次看跌的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.4% 至 +3.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 210 次看跌的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.8% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。