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T. Rowe Price's Quentin Fitzsimmons argues that betting on Fed rate cuts to weaken the dollar may be dangerous.
He notes the greenback has fallen during only one of the past four U.S. rate-cutting cycles. The view challenges the conventional expectation that looser policy weakens the currency.
If the dollar holds up despite rate cuts, dollar-priced feed commodities face less currency-driven support. Buyers should not assume a weaker dollar will lift U.S. export prices.
在过去 359 次中性的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。