Xinhua reports China is stepping up policy support for large-scale hog farming and removing farming bans to help rebuild production. The article notes the herd has shrunk substantially due to African swine fever and the prior low-price cycle, and that the weekly lean hog price in 16 regions has risen sharply.
Policy support for herd recovery points to future feed demand growth, but near-term hog supply remains tight, supporting pork prices. Feed buyers should expect a gradual rebound in feed demand rather than an immediate one.
在过去 37 次看涨的政策事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.8% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 172 次看涨的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.8%。
在过去 318 次看涨的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。