The EU's MARS crop monitoring service cut its cereal yield forecasts for the period through 10 September, with the all-cereal average about 1% lower than last month. Corn yields were cut sharply, mainly in Germany and France, while wheat was forecast 1.9% above the five-year average.
Spain was hit hard by dryness, and Poland also did worse.
Lower EU corn yields tighten feed grain supply and support corn prices, while the wheat outlook stays comfortable. Spain's losses also reduce the EU's barley and wheat exportable surplus.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。