
USDA's Sept. 30 Grain Stocks report put corn stocks at 2.12 billion bushels, far below analyst expectations, and soybean stocks at 913 million bushels, below the expected range of 940 million to 1.001 billion.
USDA also adjusted 2018 production estimates, lowering the soybean yield by a bushel and trimming planted acreage.
The surprise sets lower beginning stocks for the 2019-20 balance sheet, which could tighten the October WASDE outlook and support feed grain and soymeal values. Analysts will focus on whether USDA revises the new-crop numbers.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 414 次看涨的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Stocks surprise below the expected range plus lowered 2018 yield estimates supported a supply-driven rally.