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Dry whey prices are at their highest level since late 2014 and add about $2.74 to the Class III milk price. Strong Chinese demand is the main driver, with roughly half of whey imports going into hog feed.
Some Chinese importers are pushing back as hog margins have fallen 74% since late January.
Whey prices depend on Chinese hog feed demand, and falling hog margins raise the risk that importers cut purchases. A pullback in whey imports would reduce a major support for Class III milk prices.
hoards.comNate Donnay, StoneX Group Inc.2021年5月31日在过去 41 次看涨的贸易事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +8.1%），20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
在过去 123 次看跌的贸易事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%（43% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
