
President Trump announced a substantial phase one trade deal with China that cancels a planned October 15 tariff increase on $250 billion of Chinese imports. Under the deal, China would purchase $40 to $50 billion of U.S. agricultural products, with text expected within weeks.
A committed $40-50 billion farm purchase program is a major bullish driver for U.S. soybeans, corn, and meal, though implementation risk remains.
在过去 696 次看涨的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 729 次看涨的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 431 次看涨的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 78 次看涨的贸易事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Trump's phase one deal announced Oct 11 cancelled the Oct 15 tariff hike and promised $40-50B of Chinese ag purchases, which drove a demand and export rally in lean hogs on the next trading session (Oct 14).