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Marc Chandler notes the US dollar fell heavily in the week ending November 1, led by risk-sensitive currencies, and the Fed signaled a pause after its third rate cut. He sees scope for one more dollar decline before a correction, with support near 97.00-97.15 on the dollar index.
A softer dollar and emerging market currency strength would support dollar-priced feed commodity demand from importers, though the impact is gradual and mostly indirect.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 362 次看跌的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。