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Analysts expect crude palm oil prices to rebound in 2019 after hitting a record low of RM1,773 a tonne in 2018. Australia's Bureau of Meteorology puts the chance of El Nino at 70 percent, and the WMO cites a 75-80 percent chance by February.
Malaysia's B10 and B7 biodiesel mandates are also being phased in from December 2018.
El Nino typically cuts palm oil output, and biodiesel mandates add domestic demand, both of which could tighten supply. Expected inventory reduction supports higher prices.
在过去 181 次看涨的天气事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。