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ING argues the dollar's decline in 2020 will be differentiated rather than broad, with the euro and yen not particularly overvalued. It expects any weakness to be concentrated against commodity currencies, which have been battered during 2019.
If the dollar weakens against commodity currencies such as the Brazilian real, Australian dollar and Canadian dollar, exporters there may sell more aggressively, which affects feed grain and oilseed export pricing.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。