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ING's commodities outlook says 2020 price direction will hinge on US-China trade talks, with prices likely to whipsaw until clarity emerges. Oil faces pressure from slowing trade and lower demand growth estimates, even after OPEC+ deepened cuts for the first quarter of 2020.
ING expects OPEC+ will need further action for the second quarter.
Weaker oil demand expectations and OPEC+ supply management influence energy costs and biofuel economics that feed into vegetable oil and meal pricing.
在过去 312 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.7%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.7%。
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。