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Texas A&M's Mark Welch reports that the November WASDE cut US corn production by 118 million bushels, with yield falling to 167 bushels per acre, 3% below trend. Demand was also lowered, with feed, ethanol and exports each reduced, and ending stocks fell about 19 million bushels.
The lower production estimate tightens US ending stocks and lifts the projected season-average farm price to $3.85, above the Price Loss Coverage trigger. Lower global stocks, with days of use at their lowest since 2012 excluding China, add support to prices.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。