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Two University of Tennessee studies, one commissioned by USDA AMS, model the impact of possible closures at Lock and Dam 25 on the Mississippi and LaGrange Lock on the Illinois Waterway. A fall-quarter closure at Lock 25 would cut corn and soybean exports at Gulf ports by up to 5 million tons, or 9 percent.
A full-year closure would cut them by 8 million tons, or 13 percent.
Lock closures would back up interior corn and soybean supplies and widen basis while cutting Gulf export demand, which is bearish for Midwest cash prices. These are scenario studies, so the price effect remains hypothetical.
waterwaysjournal.netDavid Murray2020年1月10日在过去 359 次看跌的物流事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（44% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 297 次看跌的物流事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
