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UOB strategists suggest the US dollar index may have peaked in September 2019 after finishing 2019 higher. They expect slower US growth of 1.5% in 2020 and a fourth Fed rate cut in the first quarter, with DXY targeting 95.6 by end-2020.
Expected dollar weakness would support dollar-priced commodities, including US feed grains and oilseeds, by making them cheaper for foreign buyers. The view is a forecast rather than a new market-moving event.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。