
Trump told CNBC he expected Vladimir Putin and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to announce a cut of 10 million to 15 million barrels a day, with no timeframe given. WTI settled up 24.67% at $25.32 and Brent jumped 21% to $29.94, both record gains.
Trump later said the cut could be substantially more.
A announced cut of this scale would sharply reduce crude supply and lift energy costs. Because no timeline or distribution was specified, the price impact depends on confirmation from the producers.
在过去 626 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.1%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +8.5%),20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 656 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +6.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 110 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.8%(65% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +3.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Trump's claim of a 10-15 million bpd Saudi-Russia cut drove WTI's record 24.67% one-day gain on April 2, the core driver of the 5-day rally (sentiment/supply expectation).
Trump's April 2 statement that he expected Putin and MBS to announce a 10-15 million bpd cut was the direct catalyst for the record one-day WTI rally (supply-cut sentiment shock).
Trump's statement that Putin and MBS would announce a 10-15M bpd cut triggered the record gains in Brent and WTI on April 2.
Trump's claim of a 10-15 million bpd Saudi/Russian cut triggered the record surge in Brent and WTI, a supply-side sentiment shock.
Trump's statement of an expected 10-15 mb/d cut was the catalyst for the record Brent gain on April 2.