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India's halt on Malaysian palm oil imports has disrupted global edible oil trade, with Indonesia diverting supplies to India and Malaysia seeking markets left behind. Indonesian palm prices have climbed to a rare premium to Malaysian levels on expectations of higher Indian purchases.
Benchmark prices rose 60% from July to December but have recently fallen on Indian demand concerns and the China coronavirus outbreak.
Redirected flows and a narrowing spread between palm and other oils encourage substitution away from palm, weighing on palm prices while supporting competing vegetable oils.
reuters.comMei Mei Chu2020年2月14日在过去 158 次看跌的贸易事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +0.8%），20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
在过去 224 次看涨的贸易事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.1%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
