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Ten biodiesel plants closed in 2019, which the industry blames on Trump administration handling of the renewable fuel standard and uncertainty over the $1-per-gallon biodiesel tax credit. Iowa plants have slowed amid the policy uncertainty.
Biodiesel plant closures reduce demand for soybean oil, weakening the crush margin and increasing meal supply, which is bearish for soybean oil and bearish-to-neutral for meal prices.
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 223 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。