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USDA announced $3.6 billion in trade-war payments to farmers, bringing total tariff payments on 2019 production to $14.5 billion. Secretary Perdue tied the aid to the Phase One China deal and the USMCA signing, and only one large Chinese soybean purchase has been reported so far.
Government payments support farm income and may keep planted acreage and production steady, but they do not directly change feed supply, and China's purchase pace is the key price driver for soybeans and corn.
在过去 250 次中性的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 480 次中性的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。