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State buyer RCF issued an urea import tender in India on 21 March, closing 30 March, with shipments required by 5 May. India then announced a nationwide lockdown and several Indian ports issued force majeure notices, but the tender was still expected to proceed.
Global urea demand has been weak, and North African producers cut prices by $15-20/t to find liquidity.
A large Indian import tender would normally support urea prices, but weak importer demand, port disruption and force majeure notices are pulling the other way. Expect soft offers in the near term unless the tender draws strong bids.
在过去 81 次看跌的贸易事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%(28% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.2% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。