U.S. ethanol margins slumped to an eight-year low for mid-March, with Corn Belt margins reaching minus 6 cents per gallon before a slight recovery. Producers blame lower fuel demand from the coronavirus and the oil price collapse, with some saying at least half the industry is losing money.
Weak margins make plant shutdowns more likely, which would cut corn grind and corn demand. Lower gasoline prices also reduce the value of the ethanol blend.
在过去 301 次看跌的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Ethanol margins at an eight-year low signal weaker corn grind demand from the oil collapse and coronavirus, bearish for corn.