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India may export 3.5 to 4 million tonnes of wheat to neighbours through March 2021 if an export subsidy is extended, versus 0.18 million tonnes last year. Exporters have already contracted 0.5 million tonnes, and the government holds large wheat stocks to discharge before the April harvest.
Potential Indian wheat exports of this scale would add supply to Asian markets and compete with Black Sea and other origins, a mild bearish factor for world wheat prices.
在过去 122 次看跌的政策事件之后,WHEAT 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。