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India Meteorological Department forecasts show El Niño is likely to stay neutral in May through July, with La Niña possible after July. The forecasts point to a normal southwest monsoon this year, which is critical because less than half of India's farmland is irrigated.
A normal monsoon improves prospects for Indian rice and pulse output, easing export demand pressure and supporting lower rice prices.
在过去 27 次看跌的天气事件之后,稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.6%(37% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.4% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。