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Brazil's safrinha (second-crop) corn is being planted later than normal because the soybean harvest was delayed by irregular rains in late 2019. About 80% of projected area was planted in south-central Brazil by early March, and Mato Grosso is nearly finished.
Late planting exposes the crop to dryness and frost during pollination and grain filling, so yield risk rises. If planting proceeds as planned, output near 73 million tons would be a bullish-to-neutral supply signal for corn exports that can cap prices.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。