Westpac says the sharp fall in energy prices is threatening the relative stability the Australian dollar had enjoyed recently. It notes LNG, Australia's third-largest export, is priced off oil and coal prices are being dragged lower by the oil rout.
Iron ore is holding near $85 per tonne, but education and tourism exports face a difficult year.
A weaker AUD tends to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices and shifts Australian export economics, which matters for feed grain and barley pricing from Australia. Energy weakness also feeds into diesel and freight costs for feed buyers.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 312 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.7%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。