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CIBC forecasts that the US dollar will weaken against major currencies in 2021 because of its current account deficit and overvaluation. In the short term, it expects coronavirus risk aversion and weak oil prices to keep the Canadian dollar under pressure, with USD/CAD possibly reaching 1.45 by mid-year.
A weaker Canadian dollar and softer oil prices can lower Canadian feed and energy costs, while a weaker dollar generally supports dollar-priced commodities.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。