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Strategists quoted by the Financial Times expect the US dollar to fall toward the end of 2020, reversing its record surge during the March stress. The dollar remains unusually strong a month after the peak, and large US rate cuts are seen as a drag on it.
A forecast dollar decline would support dollar-priced grains, oilseeds and meals by making them cheaper for overseas buyers. The view is a forecast rather than a new supply or demand event, so its price effect is limited.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。