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AHDB analysis says recent export restriction talk in the Black Sea, including Ukraine, Russia and Kazakhstan, has caused short-term volatility in wheat. UK feed wheat futures fell on the day, with the old-crop May contract at £155.25/t and new-crop November at £164.50/t.
Analysts expect large global wheat crops next season to keep the market fundamentally bearish.
Export bans can add short-term support to wheat prices, but large expected global crops are likely to limit any lasting rally for feed buyers.
在过去 137 次中性的政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。