
Soybeans rose sharply on Friday and soybean oil closed limit up across all contracts after the EPA proposed Renewable Volume Obligations. The proposal raises biomass-based diesel volumes 67% from 2025 to 5.61 billion gallons for 2026 and 5.86 billion for 2027, above industry's recommended 5.25 billion.
A large increase in mandated biomass-based diesel use shifts soybean oil demand toward fuel, tightening oil supplies and supporting crush margins and soybean prices.
在过去 842 次看涨的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 356 次看涨的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 438 次看涨的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.9%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +4.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
EPA's proposed RVOs (BBD 5.61bn gal for 2026) sent soybean oil limit up on June 13, the main demand-side driver of the 5-day gain.
EPA's RVO proposal raising biomass-based diesel volumes 67% sent soybean oil limit up on June 13, the core demand shock behind the move.