Live cattle futures are down more than 12% and cash fed cattle about 7.5% from levels before January's coronavirus news. Feeder futures are down nearly 11% since January, and Oklahoma 450-500 lb steer cash prices fell 6% in a week.
The article frames the outbreak as a market black swan event.
Declining futures and cash prices signal weaker demand expectations for beef, pressuring feeder and fed cattle values for the coming months.
在过去 70 次看跌的疫病事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 46 次看跌的疫病事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +1.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Quantifies live cattle futures drop of over 12% since the coronavirus news, framing the outbreak as the driver.