Low domestic wheat prices have driven US winter wheat plantings to a record low, with the durum crop also expected to be very small. Cold weather and April hail threatened Southern Plains yields, and only 55% of the winter wheat crop was rated good to excellent as of May 3.
Record-low acreage and yield risk in the Plains point to a smaller US wheat crop, which could support wheat prices and reduce cheap wheat feeding options.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Dated the same day as the move, it reports record-low winter wheat plantings, cold weather and April hail threatening Southern Plains HRW yields, and only 55% of the crop rated good to excellent, a supply-side tightening that supports HRW prices.