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Malaysia's Movement Control Order is expected to cut domestic biodiesel output, and Thailand's quarantine measures could have a similar effect. Indonesia's palm biodiesel output should stay above 2019 levels thanks to the B30 program.
Malaysia's B20 mandate has been postponed, possibly beyond the third quarter.
Weaker Malaysian biodiesel demand and a delayed B20 mandate reduce palm oil offtake, which is bearish for palm oil prices, while Indonesia's steady B30 demand partly offsets the impact.
在过去 400 次看跌的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。