
The American Farm Bureau's economist John Newton reports that recent COVID-19-related price volatility and a 2018 farm bill pricing change are likely to produce negative producer price differentials in Federal Milk Marketing Order revenue pools. These negative PPDs are expected to offset $5 to $7 per hundredweight of recent milk price gains for some farmers and prompt large volumes of manufacturing milk to be de-pooled.
Negative PPDs reduce farm-level milk returns even as wholesale dairy prices rally, which can change milk marketing and supply decisions. De-pooling shifts milk out of the pools, affecting how much milk reaches the market and the price farmers actually receive.
在过去 24 次看跌的政策事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 -4.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。