
Plantation expert James Fry of LMC International said petroleum prices drive the crude palm oil price range and signal the health of the global economy. He said a deep global recession makes a strong palm market difficult and that Brent could approach US$50 per barrel by year-end if OPEC acts sensibly.
Brent was trading at about US$42.21 at the time.
Palm oil competes with crude as biodiesel feedstock, so higher Brent would lift palm and vegetable oil prices. Weak global demand from recession limits the upside.
在过去 323 次看涨的宏观事件之后,BRENT 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 86 次中性的宏观事件之后,PALMOIL 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。