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Australia is expected to regain some Southeast Asian wheat market share in the 2020-21 marketing year as its production rebounds on better weather. Indonesian imports from Australia fell from about 4 million mt a year to under 1 million mt in 2019 due to price uncompetitiveness after three drought years.
Supramax freight from Yuzhny to Cigading rose 25 percent from April lows to $26.25/mt.
A recovery in Australian export volumes could add supply competition in Asian markets, while higher freight from the Black Sea partly offsets harvest pressure on CFR wheat prices.
在过去 206 次中性的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。